Trump’s circle is purely hawkish. The US president’s surroundings hate the mullahs’ regime. Herbert McMaster was replaced by John Bolton as national security adviser.
Bolton advocates warlike policy against enemies of the US, namely North Korea and Iran. He recently joined Trump’s cabinet of war alongside Foreign Minister Mike Pompeo.
After the two Bush (father and son) administrations, Bolton has been a hardliner advocating the use of power against Iran. The presence of Bolton in the Trump administration will bring back the neoconservative hawkish trend to the forefront of US foreign policy. But the implementation of the foreign policy will be managed by Trump himself. Trump’s final positions are often unexpected until their time of implementation.
The appointment of Bolton was an indicator that escalations with Iran went so far. The man has always disparaged the nuclear deal signed by the Obama administration with Tehran.
Bolton may not need much effort to convince Trump to retreat from the deal. Trump has earlier promised to make an important decision on the agreement next May. Bob Corker, the current chairman of the Senate’s Committee on Foreign Relations, expected that the US President is likely to pull out of Iran deal – in May. “The Iran deal will be another issue that’s coming up in May, and right now it doesn’t feel like it’s going to be extended,” Corker told CBS.
Bolton vowed to overthrow the Iranian regime. “We will celebrate with you in Tehran in 2019,” John Bolton said at the Iranian opposition ceremony. The sentence did not get any attention because its lecturer was just a former ambassador. But the man is back to the decision-making scene and can have influence as a national security adviser. He is now the man who gives advice to the US president to guarantee security for the Middle East allies of the US. Bolton had written the “To Bomb Tehran” article.
Experts call the Trump administration as “the War government” because it includes radical generals. Does this mean that the war against Iran will take place anytime soon? Washington is highly concerned about Trump’s North Korea talks. The Trump administration will act according to the results and conclusions of the expected summit.
If Trump succeeds in extracting large North Korean concessions, the mullahs will then have to be subjugated by force. The US wants to rid itself of these small challenges to have time to address the most serious strategic challenges to its hegemony over the world order, especially China and Russia.
Next May will be a decisive stage for the mullahs’ regime. What Trump called “the worst deal ever” will be just a memory. Tehran must find a safe way out of the impasse that the mullahs’ regime has put itself into.
The mullahs’ regime is based on crisis and coexists with wars and conflicts because it has no development project or economic plans. Since 1979, the Iranian regime has wasted oil and gas revenues on promoting ideological projects and external interventions. Tehran won’t set measures to contain any military confrontation with the US or Israel.
President Trump does not want to wage any new wars and is only waving sticks to win strategic gains. He is a businessman. But he is also aware that wars can destroy the economic development of the US. The mullahs should be wise and avoid a military confrontation with the US. As a man of politics, Trump could attack Iran so as to guarantee a second term as an American president.
