The Qatari regime's practices add more obstacles to the crisis with the block countries. The current regime is making any natural return of Qatar to its geopolitical environment almost impossible.


The Qatari regime is aware that it is destroying its relations with the boycott countries. The Qataris are under the illusion—fed by Azmi Bishara and the other bad advisers—that their persistence will push the block countries to draw back their demands.


The mistakes Doha made in managing the crisis and responding to the demands are innumerable, due to recklessness, stupidity, stubbornness and perseverance.

Where Doha went wrong


Doha has, so far, bet on the idea of internationalization of the pressure on the block countries and finding an equivalent of the pressure exerted by the four countries. The result was the internationalization of the Qatari file in support and sponsorship of terrorism. World countries pointed at the Qatar regime for financing terrorism. Doha can no longer deny the evidence published in newspapers everywhere.


The scenario of internationalization of the crisis was a strategic miscalculation. The major powers cannot sacrifice their strategic interests with the four countries in support of the Qatari position. The said scenario encouraged the four countries to defend their position and provide the world with evidence of Qatar financing terrorism, and Qatar is in a bad position right now. The four countries wanted to tackle the crisis while considering the interests of the people of Qatar and their relations with other Gulf communities.


The Samson Option


The biblical Samson pushed apart the pillars of a temple, bringing down the roof and killing himself and thousands of opponents. But when Doha followed the Samson Option, it brought trouble to its own people, damaged its own reputation and harmed none of the block countries. Tamim is not Samson and Qatar does not have what it takes to force others to yield. The Qatari people are the only matter that stops the four countries from further escalation out of concern for their good.


Qatar's strategy towards the crisis relied on confusing the issue and dragging regional countries into the crisis to ensure its protection. Doha has resorted to the mullahs of Iran and the Sultan of Ankara who risks billions of dollars in trade with the block countries. Qatar cannot count on the position of Turkey.


Qatar conducted joint military exercises with Turkey, five joint military exercises, including two naval exercises with the British Royal Navy in July, two manoeuvres with US forces in June and another exercise with the French Navy on the 22nd of the same month. This unprecedented and unacceptable number of military exercises shows the panic of the Qataris who also made a series of arms deals, most notably the purchase of USD 12 billion worth of F-15 fighters from the United States, and a deal with Italian naval arms worth around five billion euros.


To make things worse, Doha played a very sensitive card against Saudi Arabia. Qatar demanded internationalization of the supervision of the pilgrimage and adopted Iran's demand in a moment of recklessness. The Qatari regime confused between the political conflict, entering into thorny areas and pressing on strategically sensitive issues. Doha is fully aware of the sensitivity of the issue of Hajj for Saudi Arabia. The Iranians themselves did not resort to complaining to the UN regarding the Hajj. Tehran complained only to some regional organizations such as the OIC.


Unlike Qatar, Iran is aware that the pilgrimage issue was a lost political game, but a fresh material for media and propaganda marketing. Doha did not realize that this catastrophic step was procedurally ineffective.